’16 Bowman Chrome Orange Refractor BGS 9.5 Juan Soto

Welcome to Sports Cards Insider for April 5th, 2022 – FREE Edition.

Each week we give you the scoop on undervalued, mispriced, and hidden gems in Alternative Investing.

Sports Cards in 2022

Firstly, as a reminder, here’s my view on sports cards sectors for 2022:

– All soccer, especially vintage
– Vintage basketball
– Vintage football
– Hockey, except for ultra blue-chip
– Golf
– Tennis
– Modern basketball

Sports cards continue to trade within a narrow band on the fractional markets. No big movements up or down overall.

All stats come from assets trading on secondary markets at Otis, Collectable, and Rally

But CardLadder’s high-end index has dipped into negative territory over the last month for the first time in a long time.

This feels important as the big money might be moving out of sports cards and into something else.

Last Week in Sports Cards

Fractional secondary markets

The fractional markets are a bit of a microcosm of the larger market, as one Lewis Hamilton F1 card dominated the markets last week. The other biggish winner was a two-card asset class – wrestling. The bulk of assets were clustered around even.

All stats come from assets trading on the secondary markets at Otis, Collectable, and Rally

This Week

Assets dropping on marketplaces

Better than Ronaldo?

There’s a lot going on this week on fractional marketplaces, including some drops from Collectable on MLB’s opening day.

1911 C55 PSA 7 (PWCC- E) George Vezina

  • Market Cap: $118,150
  • Inferred Value: $75k
  • Date: 4/5/22 on Collectable
  • Our View: [INSIDERS ONLY]

Unopened Box Basket (35x) 1993 SP

  • Market Cap: $222,000
  • Inferred Value: $168,000
  • Date: 4/6/22 on Collectable
  • Our View: [INSIDERS ONLY]

’16 Bowman Chrome Orange Refractor BGS 9.5 Juan Soto

  • Market Cap: $130k
  • Inferred Value: $152k
  • Date: 4/7/22 on Collectable
  • Our View: [INSIDERS ONLY]

What a beaut

‘15 Bowman Chrome Orange Refractor BGS 9.5 Cody Bellinger

’16 Bowman Gold Refractor Fernando Tatis, Jr.

Auctions

Another month another Goldin Elite auction. Here’s what I’m watching this time:

  • 2014 Prizm World Cup Gold Messi. I’ve got no idea where this is going to finish up, but it’s on pace to set the record for a Messi card (it’s already over $400k).
  • Another soccer card – 2002 – 03 Ronaldo rookie. There were a couple of monster sales for this card in October 2021 for $250k and $320k, and there was some concern they were outliers after a downtrend. He was doing well at Man U in the autumn, but most would now say signing the aging star was a mistake.
This one is at $134k now with four days left…
  • As ever, there’s a 1986 Michael Jordan PSA 10 rookie card on offer. The card is off 50% over the last year, and the new price to beat is *only* $240k. Currently at $228k, this might be the auction that turns the card around.
  • I’m trying to figure out what’s going on with F1 prices, and this could be a decent indicator. Both Goldin and Alt have a Lewis Hamilton PSA 10 2020 Topps Chrome Sapphire Aqua Refractor on offer this week, and the price to beat is around $20k. Hamilton’s cards have been all over the place in the last year, and a triple patch card on fractional platform Rally pumped 150% in initial trading.
This man is fast.
  • Meanwhile, PWCC has got a rare PSA 10 Scoring Leaders rookie card for Larry Bird and Magic Johnson. You don’t see these come around very often. A couple of them sold for $860k and $800k last summer and autumn, respectively, and I *think* we’ll see this one beat that. Definitely one to watch to prove/disprove my vintage basketball bullishness.

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Author

Wyatt Cavalier

Wyatt Cavalier

With a background in finance & intelligence analysis, Wyatt has an unhealthy obsession with finding the best blue chip investment opportunities. His previous newsletter, Fractional, resonated deeply with subscribers, bringing actionable insights and unconventional trading strategies. His rare book collection specializes in banned editions. He currently lives in Spain with his beautiful wife, three young boys, and dog Monty.

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