Anthony Davis, 2000 Playoff Contenders Wax & Mike Trout

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Todays deep-dive is on:

  • Anthony Davis 2012-13 National Treasures BGS 9.5 on Otis
  • 2000 Playoff Contenders Factory Sealed Hobby Box on Collectable
  • Mike Trout 2009 Bowman Xfractor BGS 9.5 on Rally

[Corrected] Anthony Davis, 2000 Playoff Contenders Wax & Mike Trout

What is the Anthony Davis 2012-13 National Treasures BGS 9.5?

This set combines players from both the 2011 and 2012 NBA drafts including a total of 66 players. Each card has a uniform patch and autograph on it, and Anthony Davis’s card was limited to 199 pieces. There are 45 rated BGS 9.5.

Cultural Relevance

Anthony Davis, AKA AD, plays for the Los Angeles Lakers, which is the second largest market in the US. He’s an eight-time all-star. He won a championship with the Lkers in 2020. He also led Kentucky to a national championship in 2012 during his one year at university. Some other notable achievements:

  • Youngest player ever to score 59 points in a game
  • All-star game scoring record with 52 points
  • Gold medal with the USMNT at the 2012 olympics and 2014 World Cup.
  • First player in basketball history to win an NCAA title, NBA title, Olympic gold medal, and FIBA World Cup.

He gets 673k google searches per month, and there are 290m search results for him. For comparison, LeBron James gets 2.2m per per month but only has 105m search results.

His profile has risen significantly since he joined the Lakers and looks set to continue climbing.

Inferred Value – [Insiders Only]

There have been four sales of BGS 9.5 versions of this card in the last twelve months with the most recent occurring via eBay best offer in January 2021. The IPO market cap is slightly below this figure, which puts us in good shape.

Category Strength

The sports cards category has returned 57.2% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.

Subcategory Strength

[Insiders Only]

Risk Profile

[Insiders Only]

Recent Growth Trend

[Insiders Only]

Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts

Modern NBA cards have hit a bit of a slump lately, deferring to more established (vinage) stars. A bounce back could see this card pop 50% or more.

Asset Liquidity

This will have a roughly 30 day lockup period then will trade daily.

Platform Risk

[Insiders Only]

Intangibles

Has trademarked his unibrow sayings “Fear the Brow” and “Raise the Brow.” That’s pretty cool.


[Corrected] Anthony Davis, 2000 Playoff Contenders Wax & Mike Trout

What is the 2000 Playoff Contenders Factory Sealed Hobby Box?

This set is described as the cornerstone to the modern football card hobby market. The main lottery ticket you’re going for is the Tom Brady rookie card. A BGS 9 is currently worth $1.5m.

For that card, 100 were minted. 72 have been registered with Beckett Grading Service, and 14 are with PSA. So 14 more cards are floating around somewhere….one of them *could* be in this

[Corrected] Anthony Davis, 2000 Playoff Contenders Wax & Mike Trout

Cultural Relevance

Tom Brady, Etremely Unlikeable Human and probably the best quarterback of all time, leads the list of football icons you’ll find in this box.

Among the other starts you might pull:

But all those cards can be had for less than $200. Brady is really the one you want. Inferred Value – [Insiders Only]

An identical box sold at auction on eBay yesterday for $27,600. Two other boxes went for [Insiders Only] and [Insiders Only] earlier in the month.

Full listing of all sales for the last 2.5 years available to [Insiders Only]

Category Strength

The sports cards category has returned 57.2% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.

Subcategory Strength

[Insiders Only]

Risk Profile

[Insiders Only]

Recent Growth Trend

[Insiders Only]

Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts

As long as Brady rookies are still out there, this set will continue to have value. Tom Brady, age 43, refuses to retire and may yet win another Super Bowl or two. This would, obviously, increase the value of his rookie card.

Asset Liquidity

This will have a roughly 90 day lockup period then will trade weekly.

Platform Risk

[Insiders Only]

Intangibles

There’s something about a 21 year old sealed hobby box that sets the heart racing. So full of promise…


[Corrected] Anthony Davis, 2000 Playoff Contenders Wax & Mike Trout

What is the Mike Trout 2009 Bowman Xfractor BGS 9.5?

This is the first Mike Trout autographed rookie card, appearing a year before he debuted in the majors,

Numbered 24 of 225. this card is rated BGS 9.5. There are three cards rated higher.

It’s worth noting that among BGS 9.5s, this card receive the lowest possible rating due to its 3 x 9.5 subgrades and 1 x 9.0 (many other BGS 9.5 cards have a 10 subgrade). Of the 105 BGS 9.5 cards, there are three possible average scores (when you average the four subgrades together):

  • 9.63: 23 cards
  • 9.50: 48 cards
  • 9.38: 34 cards (including this one)

Cultural Relevance

Mike Trout is the best player in the game right now by some margin. Based on Moneyball metric Wins Above Replacement, he’s in the same category as Ty Cobb and Mickey Mantle.

A few notable acheivements:

  • Rookie of the year
  • Eight time All-Star
  • Three time league MVP
  • Leads all active players in slugging percentage and on-base plus slugging.

He is a very very good player, and while he’s a current player, his cards shouldn’t really be considered “modern.” He’ll be a tier one player for decades.

Inferred Value – [Insiders Only]

Rally bought this card at auction for $50k in January 2021, and there’s only been one noteworthy sale since then – a $75k fixed price sale of a BGS 9.5 with all four subgrades = 9.5.

Full analysis includind another data point and valuation rationale availble to [Insiders Only]

Category Strength

The sports cards category has returned 57.2% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.

Subcategory Strength

[Insiders Only]

Risk Profile

[Insiders Only]

Recent Growth Trend

[Insiders Only]

Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts

Mike trout recently signed a mammoth contract extension that will have him playing another ten years. Who knows what he can acheive in that time. Regardless, as a surefire hall of famer, Trout cards will be an excellent long-term store of wealth regardless of what else he does.

Asset Liquidity

This will have a roughly 90 day lockup period then will trade quarterly.

Platform Risk

[Insiders Only]

Intangibles

He’s got another ten years to become possibly the best player of all time, and he plays in the second biggest media market in the country.


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Author

Wyatt Cavalier

Wyatt Cavalier

With a background in finance & intelligence analysis, Wyatt has an unhealthy obsession with finding the best blue chip investment opportunities. His previous newsletter, Fractional, resonated deeply with subscribers, bringing actionable insights and unconventional trading strategies. His rare book collection specializes in banned editions. He currently lives in Spain with his beautiful wife, three young boys, and dog Monty.

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