Mantle & Elway Baskets

Today we have a deep dive into two baskets of cards from Collectable:

  1. Mickey Mantle 1968 Topps PSA 9 x2 – IPOs Wednesday 28th April on Collectable at 8pm EST.
  2. John Elway 1984 Topps PSA 10 x 2 – IPOs Monday 29th April on Collectable at 8pm EST.

What is the Mickey Mantle 1968 Topps basket?

This is a pair of 1968 Mickey Mantle cards both graded PSA 9. There are 178 of these cards in the wild with nine PSA 10s.

This was Mantle’s final year playing baseball.

It IPOs for $36,350 on Collectable at 8pm EST 28th April 2021 with no retained equity.

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Cultural Relevance

We’ve covered Mickey Mantle in quite a lot of depth here. Please have a look.

Inferred Value – $25k to $35k

[Detailed Valuation for Insiders Only]

Category Strength

The Sports Cards category had a 60% ROI in Q1 2021.

Subcategory Strength

[Insiders Only]

Risk Profile

[Insiders Only]

Asset Growth TTM

[Insiders Only]

Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts

Mantle cards will always be blue chip, so these are likely to tick up 10% a year at a minimum.

Asset Liquidity

This will have a roughly 90 day lockup period then will trade daily.

Platform Risk

[Insiders Only]

Intangibles

Mickey Mantle lived a notoriously hedonistic life, because (he says) his dad and grandad died early, and he didn’t want to miss out on anything. He very sadly died just three months after receiving a liver transplant.

What is the John Elway basket?

This is a pair of 1984 John Elway rookie cards each graded PSA 10. The set suffers from numerous print defects, which makes PSA 10s very rare.

courtesy PSA

This card is heavily counterfeited, though there’s reason to suspect any problems with this pair in particular.

It IPOs for $29,750 on Collectable at 8pm EST 29th April 2021 with no retained equity.

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Cultural Relevance

John Elway was one of the premier quarterbacks of the 1980s and 1990s, and he was widely known as a comeback specialist. His 47 total fourth-quarter comebacks remains a record today.

It took awhile, but he finally won a pair of Super Bowls after six unsuccessful playoff berths and three Super Bowl losses. He also has a win as the team’s GM.

His second win, for which he was awarded the Super Bowl MVP, was his last game.

A few remarkable stats:

  • Nine Pro-Bowls
  • 1990s All-Decade team
  • 33 individual Broncos franchise records
  • Fourth among QBs for career wins (148)
  • Second most sacks (516)
  • Tenth most TD passes (300)
  • Elected to the HOF in 2004

Compared to other NFL players to have IPO’ed across fractional platforms, though, Elway is in the lower tier of cultural relevance.

Y-Axis is total Google results, X-Axis is monthly searches

I would put Elway into the “Great but not a Legend” status, and this seems to confirm that. That’s Smug Tom Brady top right, by the way.

Inferred Value – $15k to $25k

[Detailed Valuation for Insiders Only]

Category Strength

The Sports Cards category had a 60% ROI in Q1 2021.

Subcategory Strength

[Insiders Only]

Risk Profile

[Insiders Only]

Asset Growth TTM

[Insiders Only]

Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts

Elway continues to be active within the Broncos organisation; he’s currently the President of Football Operations. I don’t think there are any realistic catalysts on the horizon (he’s still young; already in the HOF), this this one will probably tick up in time with other NFL cards.

Asset Liquidity

This will have a roughly 90 day lockup period then will trade daily.

Platform Risk

[Insiders Only]

Intangibles

Elway divorced his college-sweetheart wife in 2003 and married a Raiderette (cheerleader) in 2009. A bit cliche, John.


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Author

Wyatt Cavalier

Wyatt Cavalier

With a background in finance & intelligence analysis, Wyatt has an unhealthy obsession with finding the best blue chip investment opportunities. His previous newsletter, Fractional, resonated deeply with subscribers, bringing actionable insights and unconventional trading strategies. His rare book collection specializes in banned editions. He currently lives in Spain with his beautiful wife, three young boys, and dog Monty.

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