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Today is a deep dive into three assets IPO’ing on Collectable (2) and Otis:
- Russell Wilson 2012 National Treasures Rookie Signature Material Black /25 BGS 9.5 – IPOs 19th March on Otis
- Aaron Rodgers 2005 Playoff Contender Preview Ticket PSA 8 – IPOs 19th March on Collectable
- Hank Aaron 1954 Topps PSA 8.5 – IPOs 21st March on Collectable
Table of Contents
What is the Russell Wilson 2012 National Treasures RPA Black /25 BGS 9.5?
This is a limited run /25 card featuring Seattle Seahawk quarterback Russell Wilson’s autograph and a patch of game worn jersey. This is one of ± 20 sets of NFL cards Panini produced in 2012 and a couple dozen Russell Wilson rookie cards from the year.
There are only three graded BGS 9.5.
It IPOs on Otis 19th March
Cultural Relevance
Wilson is a ten year veteran in the NFL and has spent his entire career with the Seattle Seahawks. He’s appeared in eight Pro Bowls and two Super Bowls, winning one championship.
A few other notable stats:
- One of four QBs with a career efficiency rating over 100
- Most ever wins through nine seasons (98)
- Third QB ever to throw for 30 touchdowns in four straight seasons
- He was only a two-star recruit coming out of high school
Wilson is very active on both the Seattle sports and business community, which has lifted his profile in the American northwest significantly.
Unfortunately his profile is significantly reduced outside the state of Washington. Wilson is ranked sixth best active QB by NFL.com, and Wilson’s profile is distinctly second tier relative to Patrick Mahomes II and Aaron Rodgers. (I left Tom Brady off this chart, because he would have blown it up, and there were only five slots available to compare).
Poor Deshaun Watson doesn’t even take the state of Texas, where he plays for the Houston Texans.
This card is probably worth a lot more in Seattle than it is anywhere else in the world.
Inferred Value – $60k – $100k
[Detailed Analysis for Insiders Only]
Category Strength
The sports cards category has returned 67% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.
Subcategory Strength
Risk Profile
Recent Growth Trend
Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts
Russell Wilson still has another five to ten years to play if Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are the template. He’s a much more mobile QB than either of them, though, and his rushing game could see his career end prematurely.
Asset Liquidity
This will have a roughly 30 day lockup period then will trade daily.
Platform Risk
Intangibles
Russell Wilson is part-owner of the MLS team Seattle Sounders, who won the MLS Cup in 2019.
What is the Aaron Rodgers 2005 Playoff Contender Preview Ticket PSA 8?
Numbered to fifteen, this is a limited run autograph rookie card for Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers. There are five of these cards on file with PSA of which three are graded higher (the other is also PSA 8).
It IPOs on Collectable 19th March.
Cultural Relevance
A 16 year veteran, Aaron Rodgers is considered the best QB in the NFL right now having had the second-best season of his career in 2020 from an efficiency point of view and his overall best in terms of TDs. Along with Wilson, above, he’s one of four QBs to have a career passing rating over 100, and he holds several TD:Interception records.
Unfortunately for Rodgers and the Packers, he’s only made on Super Bowl appearance (though he won) in ten playoff attempts. He’s been knocked out in overtime five of the nine times the Packers lost in the playoffs.
Tom Brady knocked him out this year in the NFC Championships.
While Rodgers compares favourably to Wilson (see above), he’s had the misfortune of playing coeval to Tom Brady for his entire career, and he’s got Mahomes II on the upswing now.
He’s a hero in Green Bay for sure, and he’s a technically very good quarterback, but his lack of Super Bowl rings hurts him a bit.
Inferred Value < $15k
[Detailed Analysis for Insiders Only]
Category Strength
The sports cards category has returned 67% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.
Subcategory Strength
Risk Profile
Recent Growth Trend
Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts
Rogers has another five years to play, and the Packers are third favourites to win the Super Bowl in 2021 – 22.
Asset Liquidity
This will have a roughly 90 day lockup period then will trade weekly.
Platform Risk
Intangibles
Look at that thing. It’s glorious.
What is the Hank Aaron 1954 Topps PSA 8.5?
This is Hank Aaron’s rookie card from 1954. Graded 8.5 by PSA, there are only 27 rated higher (out of a population of 4,509).
The set also includes a gorgeous Jackie Robinson card, an Ernie Banks rookie, Yogi Berra, Whitey Ford, Gil Hodges, Willie Mays, Frank Robinson, Duke Snider, Warren Spahn, and a slightly awkward-looking Ted Williams. It’s a great set that looks really nice, aesthetically (except for the Red Sox logo, which is super questionable).
It IPOs on Collectable 21st March.
Cultural Relevance
A 25 time* All-Star, Hammerin’ Hank Aaron is an icon. He played 23 years in the Bigs from 1954 to 1976, including 21 with the Milwaukee/Atlanta Braves.
He broke Babe Ruth’s homerun record and finished his career with 7555. That was only bested in 2007 by Barry Bonds, who did so under slightly questionable circumstances.
He’s one of only two players to record 30 or more home runs at least fifteen times, and he hit 24 or more every year from 1955 to 1973.
He’s consistently ranked in the top five or ten baseball players of all time.
Amazingly, the Giants nearly signed Aaron from the Indianapolis Clowns negro league team, but the Braves offered him $50 a month more. That’s how close he was to being teammates with Willie Mays. Had Aaron joined the Giants, they would have had two of the only eight men to ever hit more than 600 home runs playing for them at the same time…for two decades.
As fate would have it, though, Aaron won just one World Series, with the Braves in 1957.
Watch him hit Number 715:
He died of natural causes in January 2021.
*There were two All-Star games played from 1959 to 1962.
Inferred Value – $100k – $200k
[Detailed Analysis for Insiders Only]
Category Strength
The sports cards category has returned 67% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.
Subcategory Strength
Risk Profile
Recent Growth Trend
Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts
There’s some room for appreciation with this card, as Aaron has so far lagged behind other greats from his era.
Asset Liquidity
This will have a roughly 90 day lockup period then will trade weekly.
Platform Risk
Intangibles
A huge Cleveland Browns fan, Hank Aaron used to attend their games in disguise, sitting in the Dawg Pound section.
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