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We use Moneyball tactics to discover undervalued, mispriced, and hidden gems in Fractional Investing.
Today is a deep dive into three assets:
- Mike Trout 2009 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks Refractor /500 BGS 9.5 – IPOs 29th March on Otis
- Joe Montana 1981 Topps PSA 10 – IPOs 29th March on Rally Road
- Lebron James, Dwyane Wade, Carmelo Anthony 2003 Fleer Crystal Trio PSA 10 – IPOs 29th March on Collectable
What is the Mike Trout 2009 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks Refractor /500 BGS 9.5?
This is one of 500 autograph refractors made for the 2009 Bowman rookie card for Mike Trout. Of the 500, 206 graded BGS 9.5, and this card sits right in the middle of the grade with an average of 9.5 for the four subgrades. Twenty-five are graded BGS 10 but none feature the pristine grade (with four 10 subgrades).
There are further 79 with PSA of which 29 are graded PSA 10. There are also another five more scarce autograph refractor cards for this set with print runs lower than 500.
It IPOs on Otis 29th March
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Cultural Relevance
Rally Road IPO’ed one of the other variants of this card a few weeks ago. You can read about Trout here.
Inferred Value – $50k – $75k
[Detailed analysis available to Insiders only]
Category Strength
The sports cards category has returned 86% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.
Subcategory Strength
Risk Profile
Recent Growth Trend
Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts
Mike Trout cards are one of the only modern sports card assets to hold their value during the recent sell off.
Asset Liquidity
This will have a roughly 30 day lockup period then will trade daily.
Platform Risk
Intangibles
He’s got another ten years to become possibly the best player of all time, and he plays in the second biggest media market in the country.
What is the Joe Montana 1981 Topps PSA 10?
This is Joe Montana’s rookie card graded PSA 10. There are 17,343 graded copies of this card on file with PSA of which 109 are PSA 10. That puts this in the top 0.6% of available cards. Identical versions of this card are already up on Otis and Collectable.
It IPOs on Rally 29th March.
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Cultural Relevance
Read all about Joe Cool here.
Inferred Value – $60k+
[Detailed analysis available to Insiders only]
Category Strength
The sports cards category has returned 86% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.
Subcategory Strength
Risk Profile
Recent Growth Trend
Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts
Montana is retired, of course, and his card has already had a decent run up. This may be an opportunity to buy the dip on a blue chip card, though.
Asset Liquidity
This will have a roughly 90 day lockup period then will trade quarterly.
Platform Risk
Intangibles
I have a framed 8 x 10 autograph of Joe Montana in my office.
What is the Lebron, Wade, Melo 2003 Fleer Crystal Trio PSA 10?
This is a tri-card featuring LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, and Carmelo Anthony from the 2003 Fleer set. A limited print run, there are only 50 of this crystal subset.
It IPOs on Collectable 29th March, and the consigner will retain $246,400 equity (69%).
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Cultural Relevance
We’ve written extensively about LeBron James, and you can read up on Dwyane Wade here if you’d like (from another of his 2003 cards).
This is Carmelo Anthony’s first card to IPO, and he’s the least relevant of the three from a culture and value perspective. That said, he:
- Has played for four olympic teams (record) including three golds and a bronze.
- He’s also the olympic team’s all-time leader in points, rebounds, and game played.
- He shares the NBA record for second most points scored in one quarter with 33.
- He’s a 10x All-Star, NBA scoring champion, NCAA champion, and 2x All-NBA second team.
He’s a lock for the Hall of Fame, but he’s never won and NBA championship.
Points – 10/10
Inferred Value – $150k+
[Detailed analysis available to Insiders only]
Category Strength
The sports cards category has returned 77% ROI so far across the entire portfolio.
Subcategory Strength
Risk Profile
Recent Growth Trend
Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts
Have semi-modern NBA cards hit a bottom? If you think so, you’re buying on the dip here.
Asset Liquidity
This will have a roughly 90 day lockup period then will trade daily.
Platform Risk
Intangibles
Collectable bills this as the modern version of the classib Bird / Magic / Erving card. If you agree, that’s pretty cool. It’s also very rare to get three future HOF all on one rookie card.
Due Diligence Service
If you’re looking to make a big asset investment, we can help you perform due diligence. Stefan created and run Flippa’s Due Diligence program, and can offer the same service to you.
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