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Video Games Roundup – Dec 3, 2021

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We use Moneyball tactics to discover undervalued, mispriced, and hidden gems in Fractional Investing.

Video Games in 2021

While still up for the year, video game cartridges had are quickly giving back most of their gains. The release of a second video by Karl Jobst (more below) can’t have helped.

Last week’s performance

Fractional secondary markets

Bad week overall for games but particularly those from the NES and SNES platforms. Video games are by far the most volatile asset class at the minute.

All stats come from assets trading on the secondary markets at Otis, Collectable, and Rally.

This Week

New IPOs

Two new IPOs wade into the tumultuous seas of video game investing this week. Will they sink or swim?

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare II WATA 9.8 A++

  • Market Cap: $30,800 (49% retained equity)
  • Inferred Value: $15k (this is very rough as there are no comps)
  • Platform: Otis
  • Date: 12/2/2021
  • Recommendation: [Insiders Only]

Super Mario Bros 2 1988 WATA 9.8 A+

  • Market Cap: $300k
  • Inferred Value: $244k
  • Platform: Rally
  • Date: 12/3/2021
  • Recommendation: [Insiders Only]

Secondary markets

If you liked NWC on Otis last week (and I did), you’re going to love it this week.

Nintendo World Championship NES WATA 8.5

  • Market Cap: $264k (down from $293k last week)
  • Inferred Value: $550k

We highlighted Pokemon Yellow: Pikachu Edition on Otis at a market cap of $59k, and it’s up to $71,550 as of today.

Real time trading is live on Rally this week, and there are a few games available to buy and sell:

1998 N64 The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 9.6 A+

  • Market Cap: $58k
  • Inferred Value: $23k

Mike Tyson’s Punch-Out!! 1987 NES WATA 9.4 A+

  • Market Cap: $133k
  • Inferred Value: $200k

1997 N64 Goldeneye WATA 9.6 A++

  • Market Cap: $53k
  • Inferred Value: $95k

Another NES game goes live on Rally next week – an early production Legend of Zelda. Graded 9.4 by WATA, there are none higher that were made earlier. The B+ seal isn’t great, but we don’t know what the seal grade is of the other three copies of this variant known to exist.

  • Market Cap: $140k
  • Inferred Value: $450k

At Auction

The 8 to 64-bit Video Games Showcase Auction is still running at Heritage through December 9th. Keep up on it with our auction tracker.

If you’re looking for something more budget-friendly, check out Goldin’s Pop Culture auction. You can currently nab a copy of Buffy the Vampire Slayer for around $75.

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Author

Picture of Wyatt Cavalier

Wyatt Cavalier

With a background in finance & intelligence analysis, Wyatt has an unhealthy obsession with finding the best blue chip investment opportunities. His previous newsletter, Fractional, resonated deeply with subscribers, bringing actionable insights and unconventional trading strategies. His rare book collection specializes in banned editions. He currently lives in Spain with his beautiful wife, three young boys, and dog Monty.

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